How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 16, 2026? 5.05% or below

Result

Settled on Oct 21, 2026.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

13%5.05% or below
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$5.5K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago
First seenOct 13, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 16Up 89 points on Oct 14Down 80 points on Oct 15Up 77 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 08:33 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.