How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Oct 30, 2026? 5.23% or below

Result

Settled on Oct 16, 2026. Markets gave it 99% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%5.23% or below
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$300
Total volume$7.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 16Up 54 points on Oct 5Down 11 points on Oct 6Up 24 points on Oct 7Down 64 points on Oct 8Down 13 points on Oct 15
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  5. 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
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As of Oct 24, 03:59 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.