How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.79% by Oct 30, 2026? 5.8% or above

24h volume$0
Total volume$1.8K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24Down 26 points on Oct 5Up 43 points on Oct 8Up 9 points on Oct 15
β–²β–Ό a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi1Β’10,000$10,000+$9,900 100Γ—

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

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  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    95%Yes1 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    6%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Fed Decision in October β€” No change
    93%Yes0 pts
  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    93%Fed maintains rate0 pts
  5. 5Fed Decision in October β€” 25 bps increase
    6%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 24, 09:29 PM UTC Β· Market prices are not certainties.