Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?

3%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. December 3145%2
  2. November 3025%7
  3. October 31 · this question3%1
24h volume$202
Total volume$1.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenOct 21, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Oct 24Up 9 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket4.9¢2,041$2,041+$1,941 20.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 09:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.