Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?

25%Yes
19 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. November 3049%5
  2. October 31 · this question25%19
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 8, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24Down 18 points on Oct 12Down 19 points on Oct 16Up 12 points on Oct 18Down 16 points on Oct 19Up 15 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket39¢256$256+$156 2.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:00 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.