Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch: $25M

42%Yes
2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 11 outcomes

  1. $25M · this question42%2
  2. $50M35%2
  3. $200M20%1
  4. $100M20%0
  5. $300M17%2
  6. $400M16%1
  7. $500M8%0
  8. $600M5%0
  9. $800M5%0
  10. $1B4%0
  11. $2B3%0
24h volume$30
Total volume$35.3K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 15Sep 28Oct 11Oct 24Down 19 points on Sep 5Down 16 points on Sep 7Up 21 points on Sep 9Up 17 points on Sep 11Down 25 points on Sep 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket43¢233$233+$133 2.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:04 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.