Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?: 2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026

5%2 or more
3 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. 2 or more · this question5%3
  2. 1 or more4%0
  3. 5 or more3%0
24h volume$5
Total volume$10.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 15 days
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 20Oct 24Up 22 points on Oct 6
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi5¢2,000$2,000+$1,900 20×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 09:31 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.