Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

24h volume$3.6K
Total volume$55.6K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 15, 2026in 21 days
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Up 14 points on Oct 13Down 17 points on Oct 18Up 14 points on Oct 19Up 10 points on Oct 21Down 20 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket USBest payout39¢256$256+$156 2.6×
Predict.fun62.3¢*161$161+$60.64 1.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
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  3. 3Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
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  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
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  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    2%Before Nov 1, 20260 pts

As of Oct 25, 06:33 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.