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PoliticsUnited StatesUnited States

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?: Will Democrats win all 5? Democratic sweep

41%Democratic sweep
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 17 outcomes

  1. Democratic sweep · this question41%2
  2. Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio40%36
  3. Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska13%17
  4. Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio10%1
  5. Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio6%0
  6. Michigan, New Hampshire5%2
  7. Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio5%0
  8. Michigan5%0
  9. Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire4%0
  10. Republican sweep3%0
  11. New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio3%0
  12. Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio3%0
24h volume$11
Total volume$2.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 24, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Oct 1Oct 9Oct 17Oct 24Up 10 points on Sep 29Down 13 points on Oct 2Up 21 points on Oct 3Up 8 points on Oct 13Down 20 points on Oct 15
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi42¢238$238+$138 2.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 11:01 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.