Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

75%Mbappé
2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$74.6K
Total volume$781.4K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 29, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 25 points on Sep 30Up 15 points on Oct 1Down 21 points on Oct 9Down 11 points on Oct 12Down 12 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Predict.funBest payout60¢167$167+$66.67 1.7×
Polymarket75¢133$133+$33.33 1.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 10:43 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.