Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

Mbappé75%
Yamal25%

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24h volume$96.7K
7d volume$439K
30d volume$850.4K
Liquidity$20K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially the same across both venues. Polymarket lists a specific resolvesAt time, while PredictFun leaves resolvesAt null; this is only a settlement-timing difference.
  • Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

    This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Oct 24, 07:59 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

    This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    21 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 9, 11:48 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders21
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 72% · best ask 75%

Top holders

  • kraben0069967084719343625711997142692507938085009784437598207941851607360026314918661
  • TimeTraveler73877469911164783483727109892671837206592094691504566543649332822985046266712
  • Runner10973877469911164783483727109892671837206592094691504566543649332822985046266712
  • Jeffray6669967084719343625711997142692507938085009784437598207941851607360026314918661
  • peter23978473877469911164783483727109892671837206592094691504566543649332822985046266712

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As of Oct 25, 07:06 AM UTC