Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?

30%Yes
4 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. December 31 · this question30%4
  2. October 3112%2
24h volume$5
Total volume$3.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 20Oct 24Up 13 points on Oct 6Down 17 points on Oct 7Up 26 points on Oct 11Down 26 points on Oct 12Up 19 points on Oct 13
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket30¢333$333+$233 3.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    71%Yes11 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes2 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    85%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 07:06 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.