2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Republican Party 4-6%
2%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 13 outcomes
- Democratic Party 10-12%25%3
- Democratic Party 8-10%25%0
- Democratic Party 6-8%16%0
- Democratic Party 12-14%13%1
- Democratic Party 4-6%6%1
- Democratic Party 14-16%5%0
- Democratic Party 16%+4%0
- Democratic Party 2-4%3%0
- Republican Party 6%+3%0
- Democratic Party 0-2%2%0
- Republican Party 4-6% · this question2%0
- Republican Party 0-2%2%0
24h volume$52
Total volume$621
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2¢ | 5,000 | $5,000 | +$4,900 50× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Republican Party 4-6%99% No$52 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 05:18 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.