KalshiOpen

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 6

Above 651%

No49%

Price checked at Oct 24, 06:26 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	97% No	$2.5K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 9	Kalshi	95% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 3	Kalshi	93% Above 3	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 8	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 7	Kalshi	70% No	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 5	Kalshi	71% Above 5	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 4	Kalshi	79% Above 4	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 06:55 PM UTC