KalshiOpen

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 8

No82%

Above 819%

Price checked at Oct 24, 11:38 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	97% No	$2.5K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 9	Kalshi	95% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 3	Kalshi	94% Above 3	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 6	Kalshi	51% Above 6	$6	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 7	Kalshi	70% No	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 5	Kalshi	71% Above 5	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 4	Kalshi	79% Above 4	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 01:53 AM UTC