PolymarketOpen

Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Under52%
Over48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$19
Spread96%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 06:44 AMOct 24, 11:22 AMOct 24, 04:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket61% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)Polymarket60% Adrian MannarinoOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket51% NoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket58% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Adrian Mannarino (-0.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+0.5)Polymarket56% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket81% OverOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket56% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Set Handicap: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+1.5)Polymarket75% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:53 PM UTC