PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Adrian Mannarino (-0.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+0.5)

Thiago Agustin Tirante56%
Adrian Mannarino44%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$391
Spread9%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 06:44 AMOct 24, 11:22 AMOct 24, 04:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Adrian Mannarino" if Adrian Mannarino wins 0.5 or more total games than Thiago Agustin Tirante in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thiago Agustin Tirante". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Adrian Mannarino could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Thiago Agustin Tirante". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket61% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)Polymarket60% Adrian MannarinoOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket51% NoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket58% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket81% OverOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoPolymarket56% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Set Handicap: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+1.5)Polymarket75% Thiago Agustin TiranteOpen
Tirante vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:49 PM UTC