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Will AP call US Senate control by January 4, 11:59 PM?

Yes98%
No2%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.6K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 5, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21, 09:26 PMOct 22, 09:05 PMOct 23, 08:45 PMOct 24, 08:25 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.

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As of Oct 24, 08:39 PM UTC