PolymarketOpen

Will AP call US Senate control by November 6, 11:59 PM?

Yes80%

No21%

Price checked at Oct 24, 06:11 PM UTC

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24h volume$476

7d volume$1.5K

30d volume$1.5K

Liquidity$303

Spread7%

ResolvesNov 7, 2026in 13 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will AP call US Senate control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	Polymarket	78% Yes	$290	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?	Polymarket	76% Yes	$182	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Polymarket	55% Yes	$85	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Polymarket	53% No	$60	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Polymarket	61% No	$60	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Polymarket	84% No	$42	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	Polymarket	90% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by November 18, 11:59 PM?	Polymarket	87% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will AP call US Senate control by January 4, 11:59 PM?	Polymarket	98% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 07:00 PM UTC