Pico vs Keita: Aaron Pico

Yes58%
No43%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 14 hours

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Aaron Pico wins the Pico vs Keita professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement details: Polymarket uses official UFC info and settles draw/NC/cancel/postponed-beyond-Nov-7 to 50-50; Kalshi and Gemini use yes/no style rules with different void handling; Novig settles voids at fair market value. The event and winner being priced are the same across venues.
  • UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Aaron Pico wins

    If Aaron Pico wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 22, 01:00 AM UTC

  • Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Aaron Pico wins

    Novig UFC money market on Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita, scheduled 2026-10-24 18:00 UTC. Sides: Aaron Pico / Losene Keita. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 01:42 PM UTC

  • UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

    0 holders · read Oct 24, 09:36 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Pico vs Keita: Aaron Pico

    This market resolves to Yes if Aaron Pico wins the Pico vs Keita professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 22, 07:24 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Pico vs Keita: Losene KeitaGemini58% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 03:53 PM UTC