Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Austin Smotherman

No69%
Yes32%

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ResolvesOct 26, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Austin Smotherman is officially declared the winner of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles on the PGA Tour result and has a last-fair-market-price fallback if the event is materially rescheduled. Gemini uses official event result/source agencies and may apply its Market Outcome Review Process if the event is cancelled or the result cannot be determined on the expiration date.
  • Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Austin Smotherman

    This market will settle to Yes if Austin Smotherman wins the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship scheduled for October 22, 2026 (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Playoff holes are included if played. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

    read Oct 24, 10:52 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Austin Smotherman

    This market resolves to Yes if Austin Smotherman is officially declared the winner of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Corey ConnersGemini98% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Benjamin JamesGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Ben KohlesGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Davis ThompsonGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac BlairGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Chris KirkGemini90% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Neal ShipleyGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Andrew NovakGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Trace CroweGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Nick DunlapGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Charley HoffmanGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Joel DahmenGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Austin CookGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Mackenzie HughesGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: David LingmerthGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Christo LamprechtGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Matthieu PavonGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Adam LongGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Willie MackGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: William McGirtGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Pontus NyholmGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Virgilio PazGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Adam SchenkGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: David SkinnsGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Robert StrebGemini—Open

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As of Oct 24, 05:06 PM UTC