Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac Blair

No—
Yes—

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ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Zac Blair is officially declared the winner of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses PGA Tour outcome with a last-fair-market-price fallback if the event is materially rescheduled, while Gemini uses official event sources and a market review process if the result cannot be determined. These published criteria differ only in resolution rules, not in the underlying question.
  • Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac Blair

    This market will settle to Yes if Zac Blair wins the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship scheduled for October 22, 2026 (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Playoff holes are included if played. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

    read Oct 24, 11:00 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac Blair

    This market resolves to Yes if Zac Blair is officially declared the winner of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Corey ConnersGemini88% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Benjamin JamesGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Ben KohlesGemini94% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Davis ThompsonGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Chris KirkGemini97% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Neal ShipleyGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Andrew NovakGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Trace CroweGemini98% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Nick DunlapGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Charley HoffmanGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Joel DahmenGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Austin CookGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Mackenzie HughesGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: David LingmerthGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Christo LamprechtGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Matthieu PavonGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Adam LongGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Willie MackGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: William McGirtGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Pontus NyholmGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Virgilio PazGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Adam SchenkGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: David SkinnsGemini98% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Robert StrebGemini—Open
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Danny WalkerGemini95% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 02:24 PM UTC