Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac Blair

No100%
Yes1%

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ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 15 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Zac Blair wins the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship scheduled for October 22, 2026 (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Playoff holes are included if played. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses PGA Tour outcome with a last-fair-market-price fallback if the event is materially rescheduled, while Gemini uses official event sources and a market review process if the result cannot be determined. These published criteria differ only in resolution rules, not in the underlying question.
  • Polymarket USthis market

    Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac Blair

    This market will settle to Yes if Zac Blair wins the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship scheduled for October 22, 2026 (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Playoff holes are included if played. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

    read Oct 24, 11:00 AM UTC

  • Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Zac Blair

    This market resolves to Yes if Zac Blair is officially declared the winner of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Ben JamesPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Hao-Tong LiPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Justin LowerPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Taylor PendrithPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Aldrich PotgieterPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Ryan BrehmPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Alejandro TostiPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Taylor MontgomeryPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: John ParryPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Chandler PhillipsPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: John VanderlaanPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Adam SchenkPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Patrick FishburnPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Greg KochPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Matthieu PavonPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Cheng Tsung PanPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Marcelo RozoPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Bill HaasPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Cameron ChampPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Austin CookPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Kevin StreelmanPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Chez ReaviePolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Camilo VillegasPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Christo LamprechtPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner: Harry HiggsPolymarketUs100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:15 PM UTC