KalshiOpen

Raul Fernandez wins

No99%
Raul Fernandez1%

Price checked at

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24h volume$217
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Raul Fernandez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. If Raul Fernandez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Marc Marquez winsKalshi59% NoOpen
Johann Zarco winsKalshi97% NoOpen
Alex Marquez winsKalshi97% NoOpen
Jorge Martin winsKalshi95% NoOpen
Marco Bezzecchi winsKalshi84% NoOpen
Jack Miller winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Ai Ogura winsKalshi94% NoOpen
Alex Rins winsKalshi95% NoOpen
Toprak Razgatlioglu winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Pedro Acosta winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Maverick Vinales winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Luca Marini winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Franco Morbidelli winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Francesco Bagnaia winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Fermin Aldeguer winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Fabio Quartararo winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Fabio Di Giannantonio winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Enea Bastianini winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Brad Binder winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Diogo Moreira winsKalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 11:39 PM UTC