KalshiOpen

Marc Marquez wins

No50%
Marc Marquez50%

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24h volume$1.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread27%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 23Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Marc Marquez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marc Marquez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Oct 25, 04:06 AM UTC