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Will there be at least 7 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?

No97%
At least 73%

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24h volume$14K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 18 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken at least 7 presidential actions from Oct 18, 2026 through Oct 24, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 25, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 25, 2026. The week runs from Oct 18, 2026 through Oct 24, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No

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As of Oct 24, 08:27 PM UTC