Will there be at least 8 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has taken at least 8 presidential actions from Oct 18, 2026 through Oct 24, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 25, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 25, 2026. The week runs from Oct 18, 2026 through Oct 24, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% At least 6 | Open |
| Will there be at least 7 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 12 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 9 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 10 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% At least 2 | Open |
| Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% At least 4 | Open |
| Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% At least 5 | Open |
| Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% At least 3 | Open |
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As of Oct 24, 08:48 PM UTC