Illinois wins by over 4.5 points

Illinois wins by over 4.5 points99%
No1%

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24h volume$19K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 20266 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Illinois wins by more than 4.5 points in the Oregon vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics: Novig settles voids at fair market value, Kalshi resolves to fair price if the game never starts within 48 hours, and Polymarket uses 50-50 if canceled. These differences do not materially change the spread question itself.
  • Kalshithis market

    Illinois wins by over 4.5 points

    If Illinois wins by more than 4.5 points in the Oregon vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 24, 07:26 PM UTC

  • Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Illinois (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Oregon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Illinois vs Oregon: spread: Illinois (-4.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Illinois vs Oregon, scheduled 2026-10-24 19:00 UTC. Sides: ILL -4.5 / ORE +4.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 07:39 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Oregon wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 12.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Illinois wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 04:18 AM UTC