Oregon wins by over 5.5 points

No99%
Oregon wins by over 5.5 points1%

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24h volume$23.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 20265 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Oregon wins by more than 5.5 points in the Oregon vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Polymarket differ on settlement details only: Kalshi has a fair-price fallback if the game is not started within 48 hours, while Polymarket keeps the market open until completion and uses a 50-50 resolution if canceled. They also cite different settlement sources/times, which do not change the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Oregon wins by over 5.5 points

    If Oregon wins by more than 5.5 points in the Oregon vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 24, 07:25 PM UTC

  • Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Oregon (-5.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Oregon wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 12.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Illinois wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 02:59 AM UTC