Navy wins by over 16.5 points

No88%
Navy wins by over 16.5 points12%

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24h volume$1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 19 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Navy wins by more than 16.5 points in the North Texas vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement source and edge-case handling: Polymarket/Novig/Kalshi specify postpone/cancel/void rules, while Gemini cites a review process and named source hierarchy. These are material only to settlement mechanics, not to the question being priced.
  • North Texas vs Navy: spread: Navy (-16.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Navy in the entire college football game between North Texas and Navy scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 2:30 p.m. CT is above 16.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Navy's score minus North Texas's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 24, 12:44 AM UTC

  • North Texas vs Navy: spread: Navy (-16.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Navy wins by over 16.5 points

    If Navy wins by more than 16.5 points in the North Texas vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Navy vs North Texas: spread: NAVY (-16.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Navy vs North Texas, scheduled 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC. Sides: NAVY -16.5 / UNT +16.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 03:28 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
North Texas wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi56% North Texas wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
North Texas wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi53% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi56% North Texas wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
North Texas wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi56% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi64% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi71% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi74% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi60% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi72% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi84% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
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As of Oct 24, 03:38 AM UTC