North Texas wins by over 10.5 points

No71%
North Texas wins by over 10.5 points29%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 19 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If North Texas wins by more than 10.5 points in the North Texas vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only on settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses NCAA.com and a 50-50 rule if canceled, Gemini lists multiple source agencies and an exchange review process, and Kalshi uses its own postponement/fair-price rules. These are non-material to the spread itself, which is identical across venues.
  • North Texas vs Navy: spread: North Texas (-10.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Texas" if North Texas win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Navy". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • North Texas vs Navy: spread: North Texas (-10.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of North Texas in the entire college football game between North Texas and Navy scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 2:30 p.m. CT is above 10.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (North Texas's score minus Navy's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 24, 12:03 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    North Texas wins by over 10.5 points

    If North Texas wins by more than 10.5 points in the North Texas vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
North Texas wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi56% North Texas wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
North Texas wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi53% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi56% North Texas wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
North Texas wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi56% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi64% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
North Texas wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi74% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi60% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi72% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi84% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 03:38 AM UTC