NovigDelistedvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Grant Dawson wins

Grant Dawson82%
Nurullo Aliev18%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$37.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread7%
ResolvesOct 24, 20265 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig UFC money market on Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:19 UTC. Sides: Grant Dawson / Nurullo Aliev. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini uses a No outcome for draw/no contest and cites WSJ/Fox/ESPN, while the others use UFC or exchange rules and some settle draw/no contest at 50-50 or fair price. These published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics, not in the underlying event or winner question.
  • UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Grant Dawson wins

    If Grant Dawson wins the Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 22, 01:00 AM UTC

  • Novigthis market

    Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Grant Dawson wins

    Novig UFC money market on Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:19 UTC. Sides: Grant Dawson / Nurullo Aliev. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 01:32 PM UTC

  • UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

    0 holders · read Oct 24, 09:33 AM UTC

  • Dawson vs Aliev: Grant Dawson

    This market resolves to Yes if Grant Dawson wins the Dawson vs Aliev professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 22, 07:25 AM UTC

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Best bid 52% · best ask 52%

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As of Oct 24, 09:06 PM UTC