UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

Grant Dawson100%
Nurullo Aliev0%

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24h volume$38.3K
7d volume$61.3K
30d volume$61.9K
Liquidity$244.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 20268 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini uses a No outcome for draw/no contest and cites WSJ/Fox/ESPN, while the others use UFC or exchange rules and some settle draw/no contest at 50-50 or fair price. These published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics, not in the underlying event or winner question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Grant Dawson wins

    If Grant Dawson wins the Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 22, 01:00 AM UTC

  • Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Grant Dawson wins

    Novig UFC money market on Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:19 UTC. Sides: Grant Dawson / Nurullo Aliev. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 01:32 PM UTC

  • UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

    0 holders · read Oct 24, 09:33 AM UTC

  • Dawson vs Aliev: Grant Dawson

    This market resolves to Yes if Grant Dawson wins the Dawson vs Aliev professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 22, 07:25 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket96% YesOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Grant Dawson win in Round 3?Polymarket55% NoOpen
Will Grant Dawson win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Nurullo Aliev win in Round 1?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket64% OverOpen
Will Grant Dawson win by KO or TKO?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket98% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will Nurullo Aliev win by KO or TKO?Polymarket98% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Nurullo Aliev win in Round 3?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Nurullo Aliev win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Grant Dawson win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket50% YesOpen

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As of Oct 25, 11:34 AM UTC