Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento

Sarvarjon Khamidov100%
Rafael do Nascimento0%

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ResolvesOct 17, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16, 01:48 PMOct 16, 06:43 PMOct 16, 11:37 PMOct 17, 04:32 AM

No recorded data before Oct 16 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to the winner of the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento PFL fight scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within 2 calendar days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PFL.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on the result of the same fight; their published tie/no contest and cancellation handling differ only in mechanics, not in the underlying question. Kalshi frames the market as a Yes/No on Rafael winning, while Polymarket lists the fighter names as mutually exclusive outcomes.
  • Rafael do Nascimento wins

    If Rafael do Nascimento wins the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarket USthis market

    Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento

    This market will settle to the winner of the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento PFL fight scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within 2 calendar days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PFL.

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As of Oct 24, 01:51 PM UTC