Rafael do Nascimento wins
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Rafael do Nascimento wins the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- this market
Rafael do Nascimento wins
If Rafael do Nascimento wins the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento
This market will settle to the winner of the Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento PFL fight scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within 2 calendar days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PFL.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarvarjon Khamidov wins | Kalshi | 99% Sarvarjon Khamidov | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 04:18 PM UTC