PolymarketOpen

Will the fight end in a decision or draw?

Yes98%

No3%

Price checked at Oct 24, 04:02 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.8K

Spread9%

ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 34 minutes

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Polymarket	100% Abubakar Vagaev	$190.5K	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	100% Over	$633	—	—	Open
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$272	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	100% No	$89	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	53% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jacob Malkoun win in Round 3?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jacob Malkoun win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 3?	Polymarket	53% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jacob Malkoun win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	53% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jacob Malkoun win in Round 1?	Polymarket	53% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	96% Over	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	96% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 1?	Polymarket	60% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 2?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	53% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Abubakar Vagaev win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 03:25 AM UTC