UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Abubakar Vagaev100%
Jacob Malkoun0%

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24h volume$190.5K
7d volume$215.6K
30d volume$215.6K
Liquidity$153.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles from official UFC results and has explicit draw/NC/cancel/postpone handling; Novig uses its exchange rulebook and fair-market-value voiding; Gemini uses third-party sports sources and has similar tie/postponement/cancellation rules. These are different settlement mechanics for the same fight outcome question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun: Abubakar Vagaev wins

    Novig UFC money market on Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun, scheduled 2026-10-24 15:00 UTC. Sides: Abubakar Vagaev / Jacob Malkoun. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 10:29 AM UTC

  • Vagaev vs Malkoun: Jacob Malkoun

    This market resolves to Yes if Jacob Malkoun wins the Vagaev vs Malkoun professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 03:09 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Jacob Malkoun win in Round 3?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Will Jacob Malkoun win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 3?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Jacob Malkoun win by KO or TKO?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Jacob Malkoun win in Round 1?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket96% OverOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket96% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 1?Polymarket60% NoOpen
Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket53% YesOpen
Will Abubakar Vagaev win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 10:39 PM UTC