KalshiOpen

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.78% or above

4.78% or above72%

No28%

Price checked at Oct 24, 05:35 PM UTC

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24h volume$200

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread53%

ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.34% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$407	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.8% or above	Kalshi	65% 4.8% or above	$200	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.38% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$170	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.14% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$100	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.24% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.22% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.18% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.08% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.04% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.06% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.36% or above	Kalshi	93% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.3% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.32% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.26% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.28% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.92% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$61	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.12% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$60	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	82% No	$55	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	82% No	$55	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	91% No	$55	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.96% or above	Kalshi	80% No	$55	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.4% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$45	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.94% or above	Kalshi	85% No	$33	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.84% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.84% or above	$20	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 05:56 PM UTC