KalshiOpen

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.18% or above

No71%

5.18% or above29%

Price checked at Oct 2, 03:55 PM UTC

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24h volume$220

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 28 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.2% or above	Kalshi	68% No	$520	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.96% or above	Kalshi	89% 4.96% or above	$100	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.24% or above	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.22% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.1% or above	Kalshi	60% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.12% or above	Kalshi	65% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	54% 5.02% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	71% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.08% or above	Kalshi	58% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.14% or above	Kalshi	67% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.04% or above	Kalshi	51% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.06% or above	Kalshi	54% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	61% 4.98% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	56% 5% or above	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 04:10 PM UTC