KalshiOpen

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.06% or above

No59%

5.06% or above41%

Price checked at Oct 24, 06:55 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread20%

ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	65% 4.98% or above	$300	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	57% 5% or above	$200	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	52% 5.02% or above	$200	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.14% or above	Kalshi	88% No	$100	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	71% No	$2	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.3% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.36% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.28% or above	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.38% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.4% or above	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.34% or above	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.42% or above	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.24% or above	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.2% or above	Kalshi	70% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.26% or above	Kalshi	51% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.63% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.64% or above	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.59% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.6% or above	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.61% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.62% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.58% or above	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.56% or above	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.54% or above	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.5% or above	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.52% or above	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.46% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.48% or above	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 08:36 PM UTC