KalshiOpen

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.24% or above

No51%

5.24% or above50%

Price checked at Oct 2, 11:45 AM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 28 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.3% or above	Kalshi	62% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.36% or above	Kalshi	67% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.28% or above	Kalshi	57% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.38% or above	Kalshi	75% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.4% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.34% or above	Kalshi	68% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.44% or above	Kalshi	83% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.42% or above	Kalshi	76% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.32% or above	Kalshi	64% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.22% or above	Kalshi	55% 5.22% or above	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	64% 5.16% or above	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.2% or above	Kalshi	57% 5.2% or above	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.26% or above	Kalshi	53% No	$0	—	—	Open
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026? 5.18% or above	Kalshi	61% 5.18% or above	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 11:55 AM UTC