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Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin?: Will Josh Turek's Senate margin minus Rob Sand's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? Turek by 3+

No99%
Turek by 3+1%

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ResolvesDec 8, 2026next month

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Josh Turek's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election minus Rob Sand's margin in the Iowa governor election is at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

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As of Oct 25, 01:11 AM UTC