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Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin?: Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? Sand by 3-6

No78%
Sand by 3-622%

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ResolvesDec 8, 2026next month

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Rob Sand's margin in the Iowa governor election minus Josh Turek's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election is between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

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As of Oct 24, 09:23 PM UTC