Will Las Vegas win the 4th Quarter?

Las Vegas99%
No1%

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24h volume$12.1K
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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Las Vegas wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use different settlement sources/wording and different posted resolve timestamps, but they refer to the same 4th-quarter game outcome. Gemini explicitly says a tied quarter resolves No; Kalshi’s market is the same yes/no question despite its separate tie-strike wording.
  • Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 4th quarter: Las Vegas wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Las Vegas scores more points than Buffalo during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Las Vegas and Buffalo scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 08:54 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Las Vegas win the 4th Quarter?

    If Las Vegas wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 01:44 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Buffalo win the 4th Quarter?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will neither team win the 4th Quarter? TieKalshi90% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 09:10 PM UTC