Will Buffalo win the 4th Quarter?

No99%
Buffalo1%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Buffalo wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use different settlement wording and sources, but both resolve on the 4th-quarter score for the same game excluding overtime. Gemini explicitly says a tie resolves No; Kalshi’s rules describe a tie strike/No handling, which does not change the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Buffalo win the 4th Quarter?

    If Buffalo wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 01:44 PM UTC

  • Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 4th quarter: Buffalo wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Buffalo scores more points than Las Vegas during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Buffalo and Las Vegas scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 08:59 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Las Vegas win the 4th Quarter?Kalshi99% Las VegasOpen
Will neither team win the 4th Quarter? TieKalshi90% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 02:43 PM UTC