Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 67% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 01:10 AM UTC