PolymarketOpen

Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?

No96%
Yes4%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$408.3
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders15
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • MrNoItAll48931692747476746364810937787089861605130081116490300590686958856958554655427
  • thecaricature106457810326582719943830819184792124046031612456742833731206606828947912055857
  • yen4u48931692747476746364810937787089861605130081116490300590686958856958554655427
  • LornaPredicts106457810326582719943830819184792124046031612456742833731206606828947912055857
  • 0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233106457810326582719943830819184792124046031612456742833731206606828947912055857

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL2%$0.213 days ago
  • SELL1%$014 days ago
  • SELL1%$0.614 days ago
  • SELL2%$0.114 days ago
  • SELL4%$0.516 days ago
  • SELL3%$0.916 days ago

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As of Oct 2, 09:54 AM UTC