PolymarketOpen
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
No68%
Yes32%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$865
7d volume$24.3K
30d volume$77.9K
Liquidity$35K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days
Probability history
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Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Polymarket | 68% Yes | Open |
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As of Oct 25, 01:22 AM UTC