PolymarketOpen
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes71%
No29%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$1.3K
7d volume$21.9K
30d volume$61.4K
Liquidity$34.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days
Probability history
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Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Polymarket | 71% No | Open |
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As of Oct 24, 08:56 PM UTC