Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp: Cloud9 wins

Karmine Corp100%
Cloud90%

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ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://gol.gg/esports/home

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses gol.gg/credible reporting and 50-50 outcomes for some cancellations/postponements, while Kalshi uses fair market price for some pre-play disruptions. The named match, teams, and Cloud9-win outcome are the same.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp: Cloud9 wins

    This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Cloud9 wins

    If Cloud9 wins the Worlds 2026: Karmine Corp vs. Cloud9 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the Worlds 2026: Karmine Corp vs. Cloud9 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 15, 08:47 PM UTC

  • Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp

    This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Karmine Corp in the Worlds 2026, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

    3 holders · read Oct 15, 03:31 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Polymarket100% Cloud9Open
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?Polymarket100% NoOpen
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerPolymarket100% Cloud9Open
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerPolymarket100% Karmine CorpOpen
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Polymarket100% EvenOpen
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerPolymarket100% Cloud9Open
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerPolymarket100% Karmine CorpOpen
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?Polymarket100% OddOpen
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Polymarket100% Cloud9Open
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Polymarket100% OddOpen
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?Polymarket100% OddOpen
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 4?Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 24, 08:58 PM UTC